基于活动的产品研发过程技术风险识别建模

Activity-based Technical Risk Identification Modeling for Complex Products Developing Process

摘要:

以研发过程的基本单元——研发活动作为分析对象,将复杂产品研发过程技术风险分解成活动内的技术风险和活动间的技术风险;通过活动的分解和活动内技术风险因素的识别,采用层次分析法计算出活动内的技术风险;从风险分析的角度,将活动间各种关系的技术风险归结为串联关系和独立关系的技术风险,建立活动间技术风险识别模型.目前该方法已运用于微电子装备的研发过程的技术风险识别中.

Abstract:

The technical risk of complex products developing is classified as the inner technical risk of activities and the technical risk among activities.Then,based on the decomposition of activities and the risk identification of inner activities,the technical risk of inner activities is obtained with the analytic hierarchy process (AHP).Finally,from the view of risk analysis,the technical risks of the various relations among activities are categorized as the sequential relations and the dependent relations,and the identification model of technical risk among activities is constructed.The method is successfully applied to the risk identification in developing the micro-electronics equipments.