通勤出行中停车换乘选择行为分析与建模

Analysis and Modeling of Park and Ride Choice Behavior in Commuting Travel

摘要:

针对通勤出行研究驾车者的停车换乘选择行为，选取上海市典型停车换乘站对驾车通勤者与公共交通通勤者进行了RP（revealed preference)调查与SP(stated preference)调查，基于调查数据分析了选择停车换乘与否的影响因素，并针对道路交通通畅、堵塞2种状态分别建立了是否停车换乘的二项Logit模型.模型结果显示低收入的年轻人更倾向于选择停车换乘；交通状态堵塞时是否有老人或小孩等家庭特征显著影响停车换乘选择行为；模型还揭示了通畅时通勤者更关注出行费用，而堵塞时通勤者更关注出行时耗和舒适性，并分析了时间和费用敏感度对停车换乘选择概率的影响及其差异.

Abstract:

This paper focuses on travelers’ choice behavior of park and ride or driving alone in commuting trips. Revealed preference(RP) and stated preference(SP) surveys of car drivers’ and public passengers’ mode choice behaviors are performed in typical park of ride (PR) transfer station in Shanghai. Based on survey data, influencing factors of PR choice are analyzed. Two individual binary logit models are established under smooth traffic state and congested state respectively on whether car drivers will park and transfer to metro. Model results show that young commuters with lower income are more likely to choose PR. Whether a household has elders or children influences PR choice significantly under congested traffic. The results also indicate that commuters put more attention on travel cost when traffic is fluent. However, they care more about time consumption and comfortableness when traffic is congested. Furthermore, the influence of time and cost sensitivity on PR choice behavior is presented.