城市轨道交通出站端潜在自行车接驳分担率转移模型

Transfer Model of Potential Bicycle Share on Egress Journey in Urban Mass Transit

摘要:

为了掌握城市轨道交通车站出站端自行车接驳特征，定量描述出站端潜在自行车接驳分担率转移规律，以日本东京都为例，选取570个车站进行调查，总结不同区域自行车接驳分担率变化规律，得出其与车站密度、设施配置的关系.在此基础上，筛选出30组车站交通小区对调查其接驳距离、步行及公交接驳时间、费用等，探讨接驳距离、步行与公交接驳时间差、公交在车时间比对出站端潜在自行车接驳分担率转移的影响，通过多元非线性拟合，建立出站端潜在自行车接驳分担率转移模型并验证.

Abstract:

To grasp the characteristics of bicycle as an egress mode of urban mass transit and give a quantitative description of transfer rule of potential bicycle share on the egress journey, 570 stations in Tokyo were chosen to be analyzed. The relationship was revealed among the bicycle share on access/egress journey in different zones and station density as well as infrastructure. Investigation of egress distance, walk and bus egress time and fare between 30 couples of stations and transport zones shows that time difference between walk and bus on egress journey and the ratio of riding time to total bus egress time have an influence on transfer of potential bicycle share on the egress journey. Transfer model of potential bicycle share on the egress journey in urban mass transit was established by multiple nonlinear fitting survey data to identify the impact of these two factors quantitatively.