基于模糊层次分析法的汽车造型设计开发风险评价
CSTR:
作者:
作者单位:

1.同济大学 汽车学院,上海 201804;2.同济大学 新能源汽车及动力系统国家工程研究中心,上海 201804;3.上汽大众 设计部,上海 201804

作者简介:

李彦龙(1974―),男,副教授,工学博士,主要研究方向为汽车造型设计,汽车造型策略和汽车造型与空气动力学。 E-mail:mail_dragon@tongji. edu. cn

通讯作者:

蔡 谦(1972―), 男, 高级工程师,工学硕士, 主要研究方向为汽车造型及管理。 E-mail:caiqian@csvw.com

中图分类号:

TB472


A Risk Evaluation Study of Car Design Development Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process
Author:
Affiliation:

1.School of Automotive Studies,Tongji University,Shanghai 201804,China;2.National Engineering Research Center of New Energy Vehicles and Power Systems,Tongji University,Shanghai 201804,China;3.SAIC VOLKSWAGEN,Shanghai 201804,China

  • 摘要
  • | |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献 [22]
  • |
  • 相似文献 [20]
  • | | |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    对影响汽车造型设计开发的风险指标进行研究,全面系统识别出各项风险指标,应用模糊层次分析法(FAHP)建立层次结构模型,对指标的权重和评价指标隶属度矩阵进行计算和综合评判,为汽车设计公司承接的造型设计开发项目风险应对和风险控制提供量化依据。

    Abstract:

    After studying the risk indicators that affect the design development, the risk indicators are identified comprehensively and systematically, and the hierarchical structure model is established by applying fuzzy analytic hierarchy process(FAHP) to calculate and comprehensively evaluate the weight of the indicators and the membership matrix of the evaluation indicators, so as to provide a quantitative basis for the risk response of car styling design projects. The method can effectively and accurately evaluate and control the risk of the styling project contracted for the car design company.

    参考文献
    [1] 沈建明.项目风险管理[M].北京:机械工业出版社, 2016.SHEN Jianming.Project risk management[M].Beijing:China Machine Press,2016.
    [2] KAUR P,VERMA R,MAHANTI N C.Selection of vendor using analytical hierarchy process based on fuzzy preference programming[J]. Opsearch, 2010,47(1):16.
    [3] SATYENDRA K S,ANIL B.Risk mitigation in automotive supply chain: an empirical exploration of enablers to implement supply chain risk management[J].Global Business Review,2016,17(4):790.
    [4] SANCHEZ F,MONICOLO D,BONJOUR E,et,al. Use of bayesian network characteristics to link project management maturity and risk of project overcost[R]. Ithaca: Cornell University Library,2020.
    [5] KOVALENKO V,SHELUDKO S,KRETOV D,et,al. Risk management concepts in project finance: theoretical framework[R]. Varazdin: Varazdin Development and Entrepreneurship Agency,2020.
    [6] FERREIRA DE ARAúJO L P, MARCELINO-SADABA S, VERBANO C. Successful implementation of project risk management in small and medium enterprises: a cross-case analysis[J]. International Journal of Managing Projects in Business. DOI 10.1108/IJMPB-06-2020-0203.
    [7] AFZAL F, YUNFEI S, NAZIR M,et al.A review of artificial intelligence based risk assessment methods for capturing complexity-risk interdependencies: cost overrun in construction projects[J].International Journal of Managing Projects in Business, 2019.DOI:10.1108/IJMPB-02-2019-0047.
    [8] 温静雅.X公司研发外委项目业务流程风险与内控机制研究[D].北京:华北电力大学,2014.WEN Jingya. Research on business process risk and internal control mechanism of X company r&d outsourcing project [D].Beijing:North China Electric Power University,2014.
    [9] 刘磊.WF公司汽车零部件开发项目风险管理研究[D].青岛:青岛大学,2020.LIU Lei.Research on risk management of auto parts development project[D].Qingdao:Qingdao University,2020.
    [10] 薛忠真.基于AHP和CIM的项目造价风险评价[J].项目管理技术, 2021,19(3):155.XUE Zhongzhen.Project cost risk assessment based on AHP and CIM[J].Project Management Technology,2021,19(3):155.
    [11] 张炳江. 层次分析法及其应用案例[M].北京:电子工业出版社, 2014.ZHANG Bingjiang.AHP and its application cases [M]. Beijing:Publishing House of Electronics industry, 2014.
    [12] 林丽,李智美.基于原型理论的产品造型风格创新设计方法研究[J]. 包装工程, 2022, 43(8):9.LIN Li,LI Zhimei. Research on innovative design method of product styling based on prototype theory [J]. Packaging Engineering, 2022, 43(8):9.
    [13] MONSAINGEON N, CAROUX L, MOUGINE A,et al. Impact of interface design on drivers’ behavior in partially automated cars: an on-road study[J]. Transportation Research Part F: Psychology and Behaviour.DOI 10.1016/j.trf.2021.06.019.
    [14] 吴浩聪, 宋健, 姚亚凤. Subdivision建模在汽车造型数字化设计中的应用研究[J]. 智能制造, 2022(1):5.WU Haocong, SONG Jian, YAO Yafeng. Research on the application of subdivision modeling in the digital design of automobile modeling [J]. Intelligent Manufacturing, 2022(1):5.
    [15] KOUVELIS P,TURCIC D. Supporting operations with financial hedging: cash hedging vs cost hedging in an automotive industry[J]. Production & Operations Management. DOI 10.1111/poms.13314.
    [16] 靳勇.浅析变更管理在汽车研发中的应用[J].科技展望,2017(8):180.JIN Yong. Application of change management in automotive r&d [J]. Science & Technology Outlook,2017(8):180.
    [17] 白思俊.现代项目管理概论[M].北京:电子工业出版社, 2013.BAI Sijun. Introduction to modern project management [M]. Bejing:Publishing House of Electronics Industry, 2013.
    [18] 韩跃灿,郭凯凯.油泥模型在汽车造型设计中的应用[J].建筑工程技术与设计,2017(21):4825.HAN Yuecan, GUO Kaikai. Application of sludge model in automobile modeling design [J]. Building Engineering Technology and Equipment,2017(21):4825.
    [19] EVANS Z, EDDY T. An examination of sponsor outcomes at different tiers of indycar sponsorship[J]. Sport Marketing Quarterly, 2022,31(2):113.
    [20] GAO Xun,LI Yong ,LIU Fuyong ,et al. Research on the importance of passenger car design elements based on user evaluation [C]//ICID. [S.l.]:ICID,2021:178-183.
    [21] MOON S E , KIM J H , KIM S W ,et al.Prediction of car design perception using EEG and gaze patterns[J].IEEE Transactions on Affective Computing, 2019:1.DOI:10.1109/TAFFC.2019.2901733.
    [22] LAI X,ZHANG S,MAO N,et al.Redesigning urban elements and structures considering autonomous vehicles: preparing design strategies for wide implementation in cities[J].Cities, 2022, 165:107913.DOI:10.1016/j.cie.2021.107913.
    引证文献
    网友评论
    网友评论
    分享到微博
    发 布
引用本文

李彦龙,盘昌星,蔡谦.基于模糊层次分析法的汽车造型设计开发风险评价[J].同济大学学报(自然科学版),2023,51(11):1771~1774

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:111
  • 下载次数: 410
  • HTML阅读次数: 72
  • 引用次数: 0
历史
  • 收稿日期:2022-02-28
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-12-01
文章二维码