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Home > Archive>Volume 43, Issue 3, 2015 >0468-0474. DOI:10.11908/j.issn.0253-374x.2015.03.023
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Novel Method for Schedule Risks Assessment in Construction Projects from Perspective of Risk Chain
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F294； C934

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    Abstract:

    The concept of risk chain is put forward, and a novel approach was proposed for assessing schedule risks. First, in order to find out the interrelationships among risks, the evaluation information provided by a panel of experts was analyzed by an objectifying process; secondly, a risk interaction network was established based on the identified interrelationships, and the method to divide a risk interaction network into some unattached risk chains was explained; thirdly, a formula was provided to assess the various risk chains, according to obtained parameters from a simulation process taking the information of project schedule and properties of risk chains into consideration. Finally, a numerical example was analyzed to illustrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed approach.

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CAO Jiming, SHEN Liangfa, PENG Wei, MA Teng. Novel Method for Schedule Risks Assessment in Construction Projects from Perspective of Risk Chain[J].同济大学学报(自然科学版),2015,43(3):0468~0474

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History
  • Received:April 27,2014
  • Revised:December 09,2014
  • Adopted:September 28,2014
  • Online: March 18,2015
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