Forecast and Analysis of Temporary Parking Demand of Primary School Considering Time-segmented School Commuting

Abstract:

The prediction of parents' temporary parking needs is extremely important for the planning and control of parking spaces in front of school gates. Based on the analysis of the characteristics of temporary parking demand， the queuing theory model is used to predict the temporary parking demand of primary schools’ parents. And considering that the time-segmented school commuting is an effective measure to alleviate parking conflicts， a time-interval parking demand prediction model is established， and considering several key parameters， such as the number of students， the proportion of parents' vehicle using， the interval time， the proportion of early arrival， to provide reference for the planning and management of school parking. Finally， combined with a practical case， the application of the method is demonstrated， and the suggestions to reduce the contradiction between supply and demand of parking are put forward from the school side， which is of great significance for the alleviation of traffic congestion during school commuting hours.